We need not fear economic growth

Economic growth is destroying our souls and our planet, writes columnist George Monboit. He believes ending capitalism is essential to human survival (A lesson from Hurricane Irma: capitalism can’t save the planet – it can only destroy it). He touches on several of issues in this piece and I am sympathetic with some aspects. Overall, this is mostly an expression of neo-Malthusian.

First, his analysis assumes an inexorable coupling of resource usage to economic growth. Yet what we see over the past two hundred years is a decoupling of the two. Imagine living in 1915, observing that the US had 300 million acres in agricultural production. You are told the population will triple within one hundred years. That means you will need an additional 600 million acres – an area equal to most of the land east of the Mississippi River. How many acres do we use today? About 300 million – and we produce a surplus. The global growth in agricultural land has nearly stalled and will likely soon shrink, thanks to the expansion of improved farming methods, new technologies, and reductions in waste of food in transport.

Furthermore, consider that through use of new synthetic materials and technologies, we can build ever larger and sturdier structures with a less material. Israel has been rolling out the first large scale water desalinization facilities holding promise for radical improvement in the abundance of potable water. We are in the early stages of nanotechnology where things can disassembled and reassembled at the molecular level. Virtually everything we use today could eventually be made from renewable resources. We are in the early stages of that. I am not saying this all happens seamlessly and without imbalances, but the abundance of the past 200+ years and the trajectory of the future weigh heavily against neo-Malthusian visions of inexorable coupling.

Second, ending growth is a convenient position to take for a wealthy Western intellectual. There are hundreds of millions of people in absolute poverty, with another billion or two only a little better off. What of these people? Are people in the West altruistically going to give up their wealth in order to adjust an imbalance? Not likely. Without economic growth, there is no hope for the world’s poor to attain some semblance of prosperity and well-being.

Third, I am not unsympathetic to some of his concerns about environmental issues. He is right to raise concerns like using the ocean as a trash bin. We must somehow address these externalities. I am not suggesting better coordination and cooperative efforts are not needed but none of this negates a parallel need for growth. (We should also note that annual global CO2 emissions have remained the same for the past three years and dropped by 15% over the past decade in the U.S.)

Fourth, yes, markets are imperfect. Yes, all sorts of abuses happen. But if not markets, where do we find this race of super-humans who will manage a centralized world economy, who are tuned into the endless changes in needs of each person and community, and will make decisions only for the common good, free of personal gain or pursuit of political power? They are mythical. Incorporation of markets (not sole reliance) is a more reliable long-term approach.

The answer is responsible growth with green technology and decoupling. Capitalism is part of the answer.

2,725 Replies to “We need not fear economic growth”

  1. I liked reading the spirit and optimism of this article, that a spirit of fear is not generally how we should address problems, though I generally disagree with the points made in the article and have some thoughts to add. First, efficiencies and technologies that are helping make farming more productive with less land are slowly proving out to be detrimental to generally human health. Second, I agree that the developing world aspires, in some ways, to the lifestyle of the developed world. This suggests a further massive depletion of the finite natural resources available on earth, however more efficiently they may be managed. Managing “less-bad” is still bad. Lastly, I’m finding in my work with renewable energy technologies in the built environment that renewable approaches still involve massive energy and material consumption, the increasing extraction of precious metals for PV and global shipping, for instance. The fact that almost all products we make and use, those including any plastics for instance, have crude oil in their composition, and certainly in their transportation, is another important reminder. We will likely merely shift our consumption from one set of non-renewable support materials to other, and likely find new, hidden problems associated with those. Maybe not, but likely so. We may remember that Obama championed the idea during his early tenure as President that we could solve the environmental crises without changing our lifestyles, by working harder on efficiency and technology. No, that wasn’t a well reasoned idea, the crisis is a direct result of multiple centuries of western consumption lifestyle. So capitalism, as we know it today, cannot solve the ecological crisis facing the planet. I don’t think we have a system, yet, that will solve our problems; I don’t believe enough in contemporary capitalism. And even if we had a system, it likely won’t keep up with the massive population growth aniticpated in the next half century. I wonder sometimes if the carrying capacity if the earth will simply kick in with natural phenomenon to change population growth trajectories before we get anywhere close to ten billion people. Or the human phenomenon we call war.

  2. Thanks for your comment, Keelan. Here are a few thoughts.

    I hope you will note that I wrote capitalism is PART of the solution, not THE solution. 😉 (I’m going to copy here some of what I wrote in a Facebook discussion.)

    When I write “capitalism,” I do not use the term as a synonym for any actual economy – past, present, or future. I use it in the clinical sense of a system with privately owned goods and means of production, where owners of property are free to partner in joint ventures, production is guided by the interaction of supply and demand, and transactions are largely free of government direction (that does not mean without regulation). (Note: “Free market” means participants in exchange have sufficient knowledge about features of a transaction, are free to act on transactions, and trade is without coercion.) Contrasted with socialism where government owns the property, sets production objectives, and plans the economy through a centralized command and control system.

    To the degree nations or market participants use tariffs, subsidies, regulation, and military might to bend the economic equation to their advantage they are not practicing capitalism. To the degree they generate externalities (significant impacts on parties not part of a particular transaction) they are not practicing capitalism. What I most often hear as objections to capitalism are precisely the features of the present order that are contrary to a clinical definition of capitalism.

    “First, efficiencies and technologies that are helping make farming more productive with less land are slowly proving out to be detrimental to generally human health.”

    I think you are a generation or two behind what I am referencing with regard to more productivity. I referencing techniques like hydroponics, vertical farming, and such. I like a recent piece about the Netherlands that gives an example.

    “This suggests a further massive depletion of the finite natural resources available on earth, however more efficiently they may be managed.”

    I would suggest that according to this logic that our only solution is to return to being hunter gathers. Slowing down our consumption does not solve the problem it just means we go a few more years before we reach depletion. Yes, in the short-term I suspect that as some resources become relatively scarce, other non-renewable resources take their place. But most of what we produce can eventually be made from renewable resources. We are in the early stages of using nanotechnology to fabricate items. This technology can eventually be used to break down and recycle older goods. We already recycle more than 90% of discarded automobiles. Conservations slows and delays but does not defeat depletion.

    “So capitalism, as we know it today, cannot solve the ecological crisis facing the planet.”

    And there we agree. I did not argue for our present system. I argued that economic growth and capitalism – as I defined above – is a necessary but insufficient feature of the solution. It is a matter of social justice that the world’s poor not be left behind. But we must also do it without destruction of our environment. “Capitalism” as it exists in the real world is not what it was 20 years ago and is not now what it will be in another 20 years. So how do we nudge toward accomplishing these two important ends? That is my concern.

  3. Maybe a good way to think of it is that capitalism is not the solution, but that there will be no solutions without capitalism. This also means that the bastard children of capitalism – oligarchy, crony capitalism, monopoly (both state and private), and tax privilege – must be combated on an ongoing basis. For some reason, the story of Cronus pops in my head as a useful image.

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